A RULE BASED INTERNATIONAL ORDER?

 

Many leaders world over, at least those who belong to the 50+ generation and essentially the democratically inclined world, beleive the post war world order based on rules, treaties and decent diplomacy is over. Its now based on exentric, egoistic and, in many ways, whimsical leaders who , ride on a rightist nationalistic rethoric  wave and try to influence the world.
  However , fundamentally, one factor remains the same. The powerful among them , economically and militarily,  continue to have  considerably more influence on matters.  While this has been so,  for thousands of years, technology, media and super fast information flow has ensured the influences impact quick and fast. Leaving most nations clueless. By the time they figure it out,  things have drastically changed again.
So the future will retain this characteristic of speedy actions and influence. Interdependence , however.  remain  strong. This means that short term advantage vanishes fast. Maverick leaders do not last. nor will their eccentric policies and ideas.
World will learn to reduce Entropy, at least in perception. People yearn for stability and so do their leaders. Economic  objectives  desire stability.
This strong desire , inbuilt in modern liberal , seamless human existence,  will triumph, albeit for half a dozen decades , hopefully. 
The Trumps and Modis will fade into history. But the nation states will now not tie their future to one group or alliance.  Surprisingly, Trump's legacy will  be to speed up the process of multilaterisim  and hasten up a process of new world order and rules reflecting the times.
On this  hope rests the fate of millions across nations who have yet to get their due. Amen. 

Comments

  1. History repeats..! Whether it is Hitler or Modi regime or Napoleon or Trump

    ReplyDelete

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